- Ethereum’s $2,400 support level and recent institutional interest through significant outflows signal strong rebound potential toward $6,000.
- Competitive dynamics, including potential capital rotation from Solana and Bitcoin, may further support Ethereum’s bullish trajectory.
In line with recent developments discussed in a CNF update about Ethereum’s positioning as the backbone of the decentralized financial system through Layer-2 and Layer-1 solutions, Ether (ETH) was set to see its first October loss since 2018, with a 5.4% drop to $2,475 as of October 27.
Currently, Ethereum (ETH) is priced at $2,523.42, having surged by 1.96% and decreased by 6.28% over the past week.
This decline is driven by increased competition from emerging smart contract platforms like Solana (SOL) and a lackluster response to Ethereum-based spot ETFs. Despite this, multiple indicators suggest ETH could rebound to $6,000 in the coming months.
Support and Institutional Activity Point to Upside Potential
ETH has maintained support around $2,400, a level that has historically marked sharp recoveries, including a 160% gain from October 2023 to March 2024. This support aligns with ETH’s multimonth ascending channel pattern, indicating a potential upward trajectory if maintained.
In addition, Institutional interest seems to be rising, as evidenced by a significant outflow of 543,000 ETH (worth $1.3 billion) from Coinbase on October 25. CryptoQuant analyst Burak Kesmeci suggests that such large withdrawals often signify institutional interest and long-term holding strategies, potentially foreshadowing a price rally.
Furthermore, Kesmeci noted that Ether’s massive outflows could be a precursor to its price rally, citing another transaction in August 2024 when 681,100 ETH worth $1.8 billion exited the Coinbase exchange.
“This being the second such outflow in three months strongly suggests the possibility of growing institutional interest,” Kesmeci stated.
Competitive Shifts Favor Ethereum
Ethereum’s price may also benefit from capital rotation away from competitors like Bitcoin and Solana. Ether is trading near a historic ascending trendline against Bitcoin, signaling a possible rebound as oversold conditions ease. Past rebounds from this trendline have often marked the start of an “altcoin season,” where alternative cryptocurrencies outperform Bitcoin.
In the Solana market, the SOL/ETH pair recently hit a new high, yet its weekly RSI has entered overbought territory. This suggests that Solana’s momentum may slow, potentially leading to a 35% correction toward its 50-week EMA. As capital rotates out of overbought assets like SOL, Ethereum could gain traction, potentially reaching the $6,000 level by late 2024 or early 2025.
