- CryptoQuant anticipates the Bitcoin Spot ETF to infuse approximately $150 billion into the BTC market.
- Such an influx could potentially elevate Bitcoin’s market capitalization to a staggering $1 trillion.
Understanding the Anticipated Capital Influx
A recent research report from on-chain analytics service CryptoQuant delves into the potential repercussions of the Spot ETF on Bitcoin‘s market dynamics. The authors postulate that this ETF could channel a capital influx of around $150 billion into the Bitcoin sphere. To break this down: this denotes an augmentation of the Realized Market Cap by $150 billion.
Given the current landscape, this can be translated into an estimated surge in market capitalization, ranging anywhere between $450 billion to $900 billion. Thus, the notion of Bitcoin touching a market cap of $1 trillion doesn’t seem far-fetched.
For those unversed, the Realized Market Cap is a metric that captures the genuine capital in USD that has been funneled into Bitcoin to date. Contrarily, market capitalization is derived from multiplying the circulating supply of BTC by its current price.
This speculated capital injection of $150 billion isn’t a whimsical estimate. To put things in perspective, all corporations currently vying for the Spot ETF’s green light collectively command assets worth $15.6 trillion. Dominating this landscape are financial behemoths like BlackRock and Fidelity, together handling assets approximating $14 trillion.
Spot ETF’s Potential Real-Economic Impact
Indications of the real-economic ripple effects of a Spot ETF authorization emerged recently. A false alarm on October 16th had media outlets mistakenly report the approval of the iShares Bitcoin Trust. Despite the later correction, this news momentarily catapulted Bitcoin‘s price, illustrating the sensitivity and potential impact of such developments.
It’s worth juxtaposing this with historical data: even the globally recognized Grayscale GBTC Trust, during its peak in the previous bullish phase, ushered in a mere $5.5 billion into the Bitcoin ecosystem. Yet, this drove Bitcoin’s price to an all-time high of $69,000.
The financial sector’s heavyweights jostling for the Spot ETF’s approval underscores its importance. With such monumental shifts on the horizon, stakeholders eagerly await to see if these predictions hold water.
