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- Raoul Pal has explained why he thinks the present crypto market cycle is imitating the 2017 move.
- Sistine Research predicts that XRP could rise to $73 this cycle; however, Zach Rector thinks $15 is more realistic.
It can be recalled that soon after the presidential inauguration of Donald Trump in 2017, XRP embarked on an explosive surge of more than 60,000% to reach an all-time high price of $3.8 in 2018.
At that time, the general crypto market recorded an astronomical run with Bitcoin (BTC) reaching its previous all-time high price of around $19k. As noted in our earlier discussion, Real Vision founder Raoul Pal believes that a similar move could be witnessed soon.
Why Raoul Pal Thinks So
Justifying his claim, Pal outlined how the financial market quickly responded to Trump’s victory in the 2016 US presidential election. According to him, the US Dollar, for instance, surged against major currencies in December 2016.
Fascinatingly, a similar situation occurred in 2024. After the election, the USD index increased by 0.09% in December. Explaining why this happens, Pal disclosed that financial conditions tighten whenever the dollar strengthens like this. Historically, this usually impacts the economy and markets after three months, explaining why a correction was recorded in the first quarter of the year.
Later in 2017, the dollar weakened again. Comparatively, the first quarter of 2025 saw the dollar index fall by 10%. The USD continued to weaken to reach a decade low as highlighted in our recent news story. This time, Pal believes that the fall is a result of the current administration pushing for a softer dollar.
Shedding more light on this, he highlighted that the ongoing decline is far from permanent or structural. Instead, it is just a short-term policy-driven weakness. Meanwhile, risk assets like stocks and crypto end up taking advantage to record a stronger performance.
How XRP is Following the Trend
One asset that could stand out in this predicted explosive move is XRP. In 2017, XRP remained quiet in the first few months before surging from $0.0055 to $0.3988 in March. This alone represents 7,150% gains. The asset then pulled back to $0.2349 and staged another bull run from this level to $3.8 in 2018. Between March 2016 and January 2018, XRP surged by 69,000%.
Following the same trend, XRP surged from $0.50 to $3.40 in just three months after Trump’s victory in November 2024. Since then, the asset has failed to make any serious upsurge, but instead, entered another phase of consolidation, just as happened in 2017. Most interestingly, this phase has now reached its sixth month, as happened previously.
Even though several analysts have confirmed this upcoming run, many are still unsure of how far XRP could reach this cycle. As explained in our last analysis, trader Mikybull Crypto believes that XRP could hit $14.
Another analyst, Zach Rector, has also predicted that the asset could reach $15, as noted in our earlier discussion. Among them, the highest prediction for XRP this cycle comes from the Research firm Sistine Research. As indicated in our previous coverage, the firm believes that XRP has what it takes to hit $73.
At the time of writing, XRP was trading at $2.3 and had surged by 2% in the last 24 hours.
